• Home
  • Pro
  • Partners
  • Help and support
  • English
  • 中文版
Pepperstone logo
Pepperstone logo
  • Ways to trade
    • Trading accounts

      Choose from two account types depending on your strategy

    • Premium clients

      Exclusive rewards and bespoke benefits for high-vol traders

    • Pricing

      Discover our tight spreads, plus all other possble fees

    • Pro
    • Active trader program
    • Refer a friend
    • Trading hours
    • 24-hour trading
    • Maintenance schedule
    • Risk management
    • Funding and withdrawals
  • Markets
    • Margin FX

      Get great rates on majors like EUR/USD, plus minors and exotics

    • Commodity CFDs

      Trade on metals, energies & softs, with oil spreads from 2 cents

    • Cryptocurrency CFDs

      Speculate on Bitcoin, Ether and more, with a trusted broker

    • Share CFDs
    • Index CFDs
    • ETF CFDs
    • Currency Index CFDs
    • Dividends for index CFDs
    • Dividends for share CFDs
    • CFD forwards
  • Trading platforms
    • TradingView

      Trade through the world-famous supercharts with great pricing

    • MetaTrader 5

      Explore the apex in trading automation with our execution tech

    • The Pepperstone platform
    • MetaTrader 4
    • cTrader
    • Trading tools
  • Market analysis
    • Navigating markets

      Latest news and analysis from our experts

    • The Daily Fix

      Your regular round-up of key events

    • Meet the analysts

      Our global team giving your trading the edge

  • About us
    • Who we are

      Pepperstone was born from the dream of making trading better

    • Company news
    • Company awards
    • Protecting clients online
    • Trading accounts

      Choose from two account types depending on your strategy

    • Premium clients

      Exclusive rewards and bespoke benefits for high-vol traders

    • Pricing

      Discover our tight spreads, plus all other possble fees

    • Pro
    • Active trader program
    • Refer a friend
    • Trading hours
    • 24-hour trading
    • Maintenance schedule
    • Risk management
    • Funding and withdrawals
    • Margin FX

      Get great rates on majors like EUR/USD, plus minors and exotics

    • Commodity CFDs

      Trade on metals, energies & softs, with oil spreads from 2 cents

    • Cryptocurrency CFDs

      Speculate on Bitcoin, Ether and more, with a trusted broker

    • Share CFDs
    • Index CFDs
    • ETF CFDs
    • Currency Index CFDs
    • Dividends for index CFDs
    • Dividends for share CFDs
    • CFD forwards
    • TradingView

      Trade through the world-famous supercharts with great pricing

    • MetaTrader 5

      Explore the apex in trading automation with our execution tech

    • The Pepperstone platform
    • MetaTrader 4
    • cTrader
    • Trading tools
    • Navigating markets

      Latest news and analysis from our experts

    • The Daily Fix

      Your regular round-up of key events

    • Meet the analysts

      Our global team giving your trading the edge

    • Who we are

      Pepperstone was born from the dream of making trading better

    • Company news
    • Company awards
    • Protecting clients online
US

Libro de jugadas para las elecciones estadounidenses

Chris Weston
Chris Weston
Head of Research
25 Sept 2020
Share
A medida que el mercado centra su atención en la nominación de Trump para la Corte Suprema de Justicia y en el primer debate presidencial en vivo de la próxima semana (29 de septiembre a las 9 p.m. ET), no hay duda de que el mercado ahora está debatiendo ferozmente las elecciones estadounidenses como un momento crucial para los mercados.

Los debates presidenciales en sí deberían brindarnos una visión renovada de la capacidad de los candidatos para "ser presidenciales", puntos de vista sobre la economía, la integridad de la elección en sí, COVID-19 y aspectos sobre cuestiones sociales y la violencia.

Ya hemos escuchado mucho y entendemos cuál es la posición de ambas partes sobre la política. Podemos evaluar las encuestas; modelos de pronóstico político y observar los movimientos de los precios en el mercado y vemos que la volatilidad está aumentando en anticipación a este evento.

Dicho esto, dado que el trabajo principal de cualquier trader es administrar el riesgo, puede ser ventajoso tener un marco de referencia en torno a eventos de volatilidad como las elecciones estadounidenses. Evaluar cómo los mercados operan de cara a las elecciones a medida que cambian las encuestas y la probabilidad de que se desarrolle cada escenario, donde la estructura del Congreso, la capacidad de implementar políticas y lo que eso significa esto para la política monetaria y los mercados resultan ser factores clave.

Aquí está mi libro simplista de jugadas sobre cómo los mercados podrían reaccionar dados los diversos escenarios, aunque he omitido una elección impugnada. Naturalmente, mi tesis podría resultar completamente incorrecta, y muchos no estarán de acuerdo con las reacciones que creo que se desarrollarán, pero se trata de tener un marco de referencia. Actualizaremos esto periódicamente, con resultados probables.

Jugadas_1.png

Related articles

¿Qué pasa si se impugna la elección presidencial de Estados Unidos?

¿Qué pasa si se impugna la elección presidencial de Estados Unidos?

US
Cómo operar el oro de cara a las elecciones presidenciales de EE. UU.

Cómo operar el oro de cara a las elecciones presidenciales de EE. UU.

Gold

Most read

1

The disinflationary message seen in commodity CDFs and rates markets

2

Will the BOJ be the last dovish domino to fall?

3

Trader thoughts - the conflicting forces dictating EURUSD flow

Ready to trade?

It's quick and easy to get started. Apply in minutes with our simple application process.

Get startedSubscribe to The Daily Fix

The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.

Other sites

  • The Trade Off
  • Partners
  • Group
  • Careers

Ways to trade

  • Pricing
  • Trading accounts
  • Pro
  • Premium Clients
  • Active Trader program
  • Refer a friend
  • Trading hours

Platforms

  • Trading Platforms
  • Trading tools

Markets & Symbols

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • ETFs
  • Indices
  • Commodities
  • Currency indices
  • Cryptocurrencies
  • CFD Forwards

Analysis

  • Navigating Markets
  • The Daily Fix
  • Meet the analysts

Learn to Trade

  • Trading Guides
  • Videos
  • Webinars
Pepperstone logo
support@pepperstone.com
1300 033 375
Level 16, Tower One, 727 Collins Street
Melbourne, VIC Australia 3008
  • Legal documents
  • Privacy policy
  • Website terms and conditions
  • Cookie policy
  • Whistleblower Policy
  • Sitemap

© 2025 Pepperstone Group Limited

Risk Warning: Trading CFDs and margin FX is risky. It isn't suitable for everyone and if you are a professional client, you could lose substantially more than your initial investment. You don't own or have rights in the underlying assets. Past performance is no indication of future performance and tax laws are subject to change. The information on this website is general in nature and doesn't take into account your personal objectives, financial circumstances, or needs. You should consider whether you’re part of our target market by reviewing our TMD, and read our PDS and other legal documents to ensure you fully understand the risks before you make any trading decisions. We encourage you to seek independent advice if necessary.

Pepperstone Group Limited is located at Level 16, Tower One, 727 Collins Street, Melbourne, VIC 3008, Australia and is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission.

The information on this site and the products and services offered are not intended for distribution to any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

© 2024 Pepperstone Group Limited | ACN 147 055 703 | AFSL No.414530